The Prep Blog

Covering high school sports in Tacoma, Pierce County and the South Sound

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Tag: Computer Rankings

Nov.
3rd

Football: A human and a computer predict winners of state play-in games

Last week, I selected five games for the computer to predict and it nailed them all, including Woodinville beating Eastlake — the “Predictitator” called for a final score 18-16 and it ended up 17-14. Can’t get much better than that.

So, I selected a few playoff games to predict this week. The “Predictitator” and I only differ on one outcome — the computer likes Kennedy Catholic and I’m going with Lincoln. Next week, the computer and I will go through the entire state playoff bracket, NCAA Tournament-style.

Also, I’ll be running a playoff pick’em contest with prizes for the winners again this season. I’ll try and get the brackets posted by Sunday evening, Monday morning at the latest.

With that, here are the Week 10 picks:

Predictitator: Kentlake 35, Mariner 21
Pacey: Kentlake 32, Mariner 17

Predictitator: Bethel 34, Bothell 31
Pacey: Bethel 41, Bothell 34
Computer says: This is a case of a team with a higher Overall Power Rating (OPR) beating the lower OPR. This is not a highly successful situation for the Predictitator, but I’m sticking with what the computer says and calling for this upset.
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Nov.
1st

Football: Computer state rankings

After nine weeks, here’s how the computer ranks high school football teams in Washington. For more analysis on the computer rankings, visit ScoreCzar.com. If you’ve got questions about the system, leave a comment here in the blog or contact the creator, Scott Odiorne, on Twitter at @ScoreCzar.

CLASS 4A  
1 WOODINVILLE 0.56
2 OLYMPIA 0.79
3 BELLARMINE PREP 0.81
4 EASTLAKE 0.91
5 SKYVIEW 0.96
6 FEDERAL WAY 1.02
7 CHIAWANA 1.18
8 LAKE STEVENS 1.24
9 KENTLAKE 1.28
10 FERRIS 1.37
11 UNION 1.39
12 SKYLINE 1.46
13 BOTHELL 1.58
14 KENTWOOD 1.61
15 CENTRAL VALLEY 1.68
16 ISSAQUAH 1.68
17 BETHEL 1.73
18 MEAD 1.75
19 SOUTH KITSAP 1.90
20 ARLINGTON 1.94

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Oct.
27th

Football: A human and computer predict Week 9 results

After the computer did so well in predicting the outcome of last week’s Olympia-Bellarmine Prep contest — it predicted a 16-13 BP win and the final was 15-14 — I asked Scott Odiorne, who compiles the computer rankings we’ve been running this season, to run some projections for games in Week 9.

I added my picks, too.

Here’s the lineup:

Computer: No. 5 Woodinville 18, No. 1 Eastlake 16
Pacey: No. 1 Eastlake 31, No. 5 Woodinville 21

Computer: Central Valley 29, Lewis & Clark 25
Pacey: Lewis & Clark 20, Central Valley 17
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Oct.
26th

Football: Week 9 computer rankings

So, what did the computer think of Eastlake’s 28-21 win over Skyline and Bellarmine Prep’s 15-14 besting of Olympia?

Well, the top five Class 4A teams held steady: Woodinville, Olympia, Bellarmine Prep, Eastlake and Skyview. Yes, the computer has Olympia ahead of Bellarmine Prep — 0.70 to 0.71. Chiawana, which did not play in Week 8, moved from eighth to No. 6, while Skyline didn’t budge, remaining at No. 12.

What does all this mean? To me, it says the computer is settling on the top teams. Yeah, it’s odd to see Olympia ranked ahead of Bellarmine Prep, but the difference is so small, one-one hundredth of a point, that it’s basically a wash. And Bellarmine Prep beat Olympia on the field by one point, so it’s not such a stretch. But, yeah, definitely weird.

For a complete look at the rankings and more analysis, visit ScoreCzar.com, which supplies the TNT with these computer rankings.

Here are this week’s computer rankings:

CLASS 4A  
1 WOODINVILLE 0.48
2 OLYMPIA 0.70
3 BELLARMINE PREP 0.71
4 EASTLAKE 0.88
5 SKYVIEW 0.95
6 UNION 1.10
7 FEDERAL WAY 1.13
8 CHIAWANA 1.13
9 LAKE STEVENS 1.15
10 KENTLAKE 1.34
11 FERRIS 1.38
12 SKYLINE 1.42
13 KENTWOOD 1.55
14 BOTHELL 1.55
15 BETHEL 1.61
16 ISSAQUAH 1.70
17 INGLEMOOR 1.76
18 ARLINGTON 1.80
19 MEAD 1.80
20 CENTRAL VALLEY 1.87

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Oct.
18th

Football: Week 8 computer state rankings

Here’s the Week 8 computer state football rankings. According to the computer, this week’s Olympia-Bellarmine Prep contest pairs the second- and third-ranked teams in Class 4A.

CLASS 4A  
1 WOODINVILLE 0.57
2 OLYMPIA 0.65
3 BELLARMINE PREP 0.70
4 EASTLAKE 0.87
5 SKYVIEW 0.94
6 CHIAWANA 1.01
7 UNION 1.17
8 KENTLAKE 1.20
9 FEDERAL WAY 1.27
10 FERRIS 1.33
11 LAKE STEVENS 1.43
12 SKYLINE 1.47
13 KENTWOOD 1.53
14 BOTHELL 1.53
15 BETHEL 1.67
16 ARLINGTON 1.75
17 ISSAQUAH 1.82
18 TAHOMA 1.84
19 RICHLAND 1.85
20 SOUTH KITSAP 1.85

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