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Computer rankings: Lots of surprises in first run of 2012

Post by Todd Milles / The News Tribune on Sep. 18, 2012 at 3:44 pm with 2 Comments »
September 18, 2012 3:44 pm
Are Brandon Belisario, left, Mo Manning and the North Thurston High Rams being underrated? Not by the computer rankings.

Last year, The News Tribune began a partnership with Scott Odiorne, also known as the “Score Czar,” to publish computer-based high school football rankings.

Here is how he explains the process:

The computer rankings take the outcome of each game and endeavors to capsulize the data created by the final score by placing a numerical rating on how each team did compared to the caliber of their opponent.

The computer takes Points Allowed divided by Points For, multiplied by strength of schedule to determine each team rating.

Week 3 is the earliest computer rankings can be calculated.

CLASS 4A

1. Kentwood 0.34
2. Mead 0.78
3. Skyline 0.86
4. Camas 1.01
5. Federal Way 1.25
6. Skyview 1.38
7. Bellarmine Prep 1.39
8. Kamiak 1.45
9. Lake Stevens 1.55
10. Auburn 1.61

Others: Gonzaga Prep 1.75, Newport 1.87, Union 1.92, Battle Ground 1.98, Bothell 2.00, Curtis 2.04, Evergreen of Vancouver 2.24, Roosevelt 2.28, Issaquah 2.32, Central Kitsap 2.46.

CLASS 3A

1. Mount Si 0.19
2. Bellevue 0.30
3. North Thurston 1.16
4. Lincoln 1.20
5. Eastside Catholic 1.23
6. Meadowdale 1.34
7. Ferndale 1.63
8. Glacier Peak 1.74
9. Rainier Bech 2.06
10. Oak Harbor 2.06

Others: Kamiakin 2.09, Bonney Lake 2.10, Mountain View 2.11, O’Dea 2.12, Marysville-Pilchuck 2.17, Kelso 2.20, Shelton 2.31, Kennedy Catholic 2.38, Kennewick 2.40, Lakes 2.56.

CLASS 2A

1. Othello 0.92
2. Deer Park 1.09
3. Mark Morris 1.13
4. Hockinson 1.27
5. Capital 1.30
6. Orting 1.44
7. East Valley of Spokane 1.59
8. Ellensburg 1.68
9. Lynden 1.74
10. Washougal 1.78

Others: Lindbergh 1.91, West Valley of Yakima 1.99, Sumner 2.26, West Valley of Spokane 2.42, Selah 2.42, Black Hills 2.55, R.A. Long 2.64, Prosser 2.65, Steilacoom 2.73, Sehome 2.73.

CLASS 1A

1. Cashmere 0.25
2. Cle Elum/Roslyn 0.59
3. Friday Harbor 0.94
4. Royal 1.05
T5. Toledo 1.08
T5. Tenino 1.08
7. Woodland 1.26
8. Charles Wright Academy 1.30
9. Hoquiam 1.39
10. Tonasket 1.48

Others: Nooksack Valley 1.55, La Center 1.59, Castle Rock 1.64, Chewelah 1.67, Zillah 1.94, Cedar Park Christian 1.95, River View 2.09, King’s 2.22, Eatonville 2.23, Freeman 2.28.

CLASS 2B

1. Morton/White Pass 0.40
2. Willapa Valley 0.82
3. Darrington 1.26
4. Waitsburg/Prescott 1.40
5. Tekoa-Oakesdake/Rosalia 1.64

Others: DeSales 1.82, Naselle 2.02, La Conner 2.11, Wahkiakum 2.27, Tri-Cities Prep 2.28.

CLASS 1B

1. Mary M. Knight 0.18
2. Liberty Christian 0.31
3. Clallam Bay 0.48
4. Cusick 0.66
5. Tulalip Heritage 0.99

Others: Lopez 1.12, Selkirk 1.87, Touchet 1.91, King’s Way Christian 1.99, Crescent 2.09.

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Leave a comment Comments → 2
  1. teriksen says:

    I’m from Lynden (2A), but any rankings that have King’s (1A) at 18th when they have beaten the two teams that were in the 2A championship the previous year are a joke.

  2. mojjonation says:

    Well that’s why computer rankings are only as unbiased as the person putting the data in. It’ll never work, kind of like the BCS.

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