Here’s our final installment of the “A human and a computer predict…” series — at least until the basketball state playoffs.
What have we learned?
We’re not so unalike, humans and computers. The computer has played it straight, picking by the numbers. The human (me) makes some judgment calls (some might say poor judgment) and factors in history, injuries and playoff pedigrees.
And where did that get us? The human and computer agree on what teams should meet in the 3A and 1A title games. In 4A, the computer has Woodinville beating Bellarmine Prep, while I have Ferris topping Bellarmine Prep in a rematch of last year’s semifinals.
Here are the picks, and the computer adds analysis on what to expect in the postseason.
(Note: We’ll add Class 2A predictions when Tuesday’s play-in games are completed.)
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|CLASS 4A FOOTBALL STATE PLAYOFFS|
|Kentlake over Union||Kentlake over Union|
|Woodinville over Bethel||Woodinville over Bethel|
|Ferris over Central Valley||Ferris over Central Valley|
|Skyline over Mead||Mead over Skyline|
|Bellarmine over Ed-Woodway||Bellarmine over Ed-Woodway|
|Skyview over Kentwood||Skyview over Kentwood|
|Lake Stevens over Olympia||Olympia over Lake Stevens|
|Eastlake over Federal Way||Eastlake over Federal Way|
|Woodinville over Kentlake||Woodinville over Kentlake|
|Skyline over Ferris||Ferris over Mead|
|Bellarmine Prep over Skyview||Bellarmine Prep over Skyview|
|Eastlake over Lake Stevens||Eastlake over Olympia|
|Woodinville over Skyline||Ferris over Woodinville|
|Bellarmine Prep over Eastlake||Bellarmine Prep over Eastlake|
|Woodinville over Bellarmine Prep||Ferris over Bellarmine Prep|
|CLASS 3A FOOTBALL STATE PLAYOFFS|
|Bellevue over Eastside Catholic||Bellevue over Eastside Catholic|
|Lakes over Mountain View||Lakes over Mountain View|
|Kennewick over Southridge||Kennewick over Southridge|
|Kamiakin over Seattle Prep||Kamiakin over Seattle Prep|
|Meadowdale over Mercer Island||Mercer Island over Meadowdale|
|Camas over Kennedy Catholic||Camas over Kennedy Catholic|
|Capital over Hazen||Capital over Hazen|
|O’Dea over Mount Si||O’Dea over Mount Si|
|Lakes over Bellevue||Lakes over Bellevue|
|Kennewick over Kamiakin||Kamiakin over Kennewick|
|Camas over Meadowdale||Camas over Mercer Island|
|O’Dea over Capital||Capital over O’Dea|
|Lakes over Kennewick||Lakes over Kamiakin|
|Camas over O’Dea||Camas over Capital|
|Camas over Lakes||Lakes over Camas|
|CLASS 1A FOOTBALL STATE PLAYOFFS|
|Royal over Colville||Royal over Colville|
|Cle Elum/Roslyn over Chelan||Chelan over Cle Elum/Roslyn|
|Connell over Freeman||Connell over Freeman|
|Cashmere over Zillah||Cashmere over Zillah|
|Hoquiam over King’s||King’s over Hoquiam|
|Montesano over CPC||Montesano over CPC|
|Meridian over Toledo||Meridian over Toledo|
|Cascade Chrstn. over LaCenter||Cascade Chrstn. Over La Center|
|Cle Elum/Roslyn over Royal||Chelan over Royal|
|Cashmere over Connell||Cashmere over Connell|
|Montesano over Hoquiam||Montesano over Hoquiam|
|Cascade Chrstn. over Meridian||Cascade Chrstn. over Meridian|
|Cashmere over Cle Elum/Roslyn||Cashmere over Chelan|
|Montesano over Cascade Chrstn.||Montesano over Cascade Chrstn.|
|Montesano over Cashmere||Cashmere over Montesano|
|CLASS 2A FOOTBALL STATE PLAYOFFS|
|Lynden over North Thurston||Lynden over North Thurston|
|Franklin Pierce over Interlake||Interlake over Franklin Pierce|
|Sequim over W.F. West||Sequim over W.F. West|
|Lakewood over Lindbergh||Lakewood over Lindbergh|
|Othello over Steilacoom||Othello over Steilacoom|
|ATM over Tumwater||Tumwater over ATM|
|Prosser over Spo. West Valley||Prosser over Spo. West Valley|
|Deer Park over Ellensburg||Deer Park over Ellensburg|
|Lynden over FP||Lynden over Interlake|
|Lakewood over Sequim||Lakewood over Sequim|
|Othello over ATM||Tumwater over Othello|
|Prosser over Deer Park||Prosser over Deer Park|
|Lynden over Lakewood||Lynden over Lakewood|
|Othello over Prosser||Tumwater over Prosser|
|Othello over Lynden||Lynden over Tumwater|
What’s a little madness without an upset? The numbers are not aligning correctly for Olympia and I see potential trouble brewing for the Bears as they travel to Lake Stevens. The ScoreCzar system is calling this a 26-25 Viking victory and has put Olympia on upset alert.
Sticking in 4A, I hope everyone remembers back to Week 5 when this crazy computer guy said that Woodinville was the No. 1 team in the state. How far have we all come with this team? Woodinville is ranked just a tad bit higher by the humans now than it was to begin the season, which was unranked. Woodinville wins the 4A state title and you heard it first from the ScoreCzar back in late September.
Class 3A is a little dicey, but I’m the numbers guy so I will report what the numbers say and leave the editorial stuff for the “experts.” The numbers say Lakes beats Bellevue in the quarterfinals, but then runs into a re-match of last year’s double-overtime playoff victory against Camas. Lakes has scored 555 points to this point. Camas has allowed 69. Something has to give. When in doubt, always remember the old axiom about “defense wins championships.” Camas wins 3A in a state-title stunner.
(2A predictions will be posted when Tuesday’s play-in games are completed)
All year I have been adding an extra ‘T’ to Montesano, somehow that got by my spell-check (I’m a computer, after all). So, to the fine people of Montesano I apologize, but I have a suggestion that may avoid future confusion? How about re-naming your town MontesanDo. No T, but one heck of a “D” in Monte. Twenty-two points allowed all year is about as crazy as Woodinville ranked No. 1 in Week 5. Monte cruises to a victory over a great, but mortal Cashmere by a wide margin.
Disappointed to see Adna playing Naselle so early in the 2B playoffs. Just one of many games the WIAA has set up to frustrate and annoy the fans and penalize good teams. The coaches, players and their families are all cheated out of what would otherwise be a compelling and fan friendly tourney. With all that said, nobody is is coming within a mile of White Pass/Morton for the State title. They’ve only allowed 14 points all year and that was to Napavine in week 3. It’s been all zero’s after that. WPM is head & shoulders above everyone else in this classification.
Hope everyone gets out and supports their team this playoff season. It’s the best $8 you’ll ever spend and the quality of play will not disappoint. Remember to delete your deleted files and always clear your cache, your computer will dislike you a little less.