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Football: Playoff Preview Capsules

Post by Doug Pacey / The News Tribune on Nov. 3, 2011 at 8:21 pm with 5 Comments »
November 3, 2011 8:21 pm

4A PLAYOFFS

Bothell (6-3) at Bethel (7-2), 7:30 p.m. Friday
Lowdown:
Something’s got to give. Bethel has been held to fewer than 40 points just once this season – sixth-ranked Federal Way clipped the Braves 28-26 in Week 5 – while no team has scored more than 30 on Bothell. The Cougars have had success against the SPSL South in the postseason the past three years, winning all three of those games, including a 41-7 thrashing of Bethel in 2008. These Braves are much more potent. QB Justin Hordyk is a run-pass threat, compiling 2,558 yards of total offense (1,671 passing and 887 rushing). Bethel has a knack for forcing turnovers, posting a turnover ratio of plus-10 and that could be the difference against a tough Bothell squad.
TNT pick: Bethel 41, Bothell 34

Graham-Kapowsin (5-4) at No. 1 Bellarmine Prep (9-0), 7 p.m. Friday at Mount Tahoma
Lowdown:
The Lions could be shorthanded tonight, playing without RB/DB Isaiah Flynn and RB/LB Joe Lovejoy. Flynn returned to practice this week after missing the previous three games with a knee strain, while Lovejoy left last week’s 27-20 win over Gig Harbor with a leg injury. Sophomore RB Lou Millie should see a larger role if Flynn and Lovejoy can’t play. Lions coach Tom Larsen says the Eagles “look more like a No. 2 seed than a No. 4 seed,” pointing out that they’ve won five of their past six games.
TNT pick: Bellarmine Prep 34, Graham-Kapowsin 19

Gig Harbor (5-4) at Kentwood (7-2), 7 p.m. Saturday
Lowdown:
Kentwood hasn’t been flashy, but the Conquerors, the SPSL North’s No. 2 seed, have put together a solid season, winning six of their past seven games. The only blemish in that span was a 17-16 loss to undefeated Kentlake. RB Matt Hubbard, averaging 105.7 yards per game, anchors the Conks’ no-frills offense and RB/LB Visa Thach is a hard-hitting play-maker. Gig Harbor doesn’t need to penetrate deeply into Kentwood territory to score – kicker Korey Durkee can hit field goals longer than 40 yards.
TNT pick: Kentwood 27, Gig Harbor 23

Puyallup (6-3) at No. 8 Olympia (8-1), 7 p.m. Friday
Lowdown:
Puyallup’s high-scoring offense – the Vikings are averaging 40 points per game – meets Olympia’s stifling defense – no team has scored more than two touchdowns in a game against the Bears this season. Olympia has experience facing spread offenses – most recently it shut down Gig Harbor 27-3 – but the Vikings’ are probably its most potent foe. The quarterback tandem of Rhys Gervais and Trevor Lyon can beat defenses through the air and on the ground, guiding the team to an average of 444.2 yards of offense per game.. Gervais leads the SPSL in passing with 1,948 yards and 21 TD throws.
TNT pick: Olympia 27, Puyallup 20

3A PLAYOFFS

Mount Si (6-3) at Peninsula (8-1), 7 p.m. Saturday
Lowdown:
Seahawks coach Ross Filkins says playing Mount Si “is like looking in a mirror.” Both squads are power running teams with physical offensive and defensive lines. Peninsula’s offensive game plan is no secret – bruising RB Danny Welstad (249 carries for 2,025 yards and 30 TDs) will get plenty of work. Mount Si, the No. 3 seed from KingCo, has faced elite competition. The Wildcats led top-ranked Bellevue 3-0 in the second quarter two weeks ago before the Wolverines broke free for a 35-3 win. Mount Si might have an edge on special teams. Kicker Cameron Vanwinkle has drilled 16 field goals, including four in a 26-14 win over Bothell, this season.
TNT pick: Peninsula 24, Mount Si 20

2A PLAYOFFS

Port Angeles (6-3) at Franklin Pierce (7-2), 7 p.m. Saturday
Lowdown:
At stake for Franklin Pierce is the Cardinals’ first trip to the state playoffs since 2007 and first as a Class 2A school. The SPSL 2A champions have been piling up points, scoring at least 39 in their past four games. Thousand-yard rusher RB Iopu Ignacio, who’s rushed for 1,260 yards and 16 TDs, is the team’s workhorse on offense. Port Angeles defeated Renton 23-6 on Tuesday to advance to this game. RB Keenen Walker ran for 218 yards on 19 carries, scoring touchdowns on runs of 80 and 64 yards.
TNT pick: Franklin Pierce 29, Port Angeles 26

Leave a comment Comments → 5
  1. So…Doug, how about a pick on Lincoln vs. JFK Catholic?

    I have handicapped it at 42-35, but I don’t know which team scores which. What do you think??

  2. Nevermind the earlier post…I see the human vs. computer picks you posted. I happen to agree with what Doug’s pick reflects: JFK is overrated. The weakness of their Seamount League is just a huge wild card in all their work to date.

    But, having said that, I do think JFK has improved since AB Murphy put the wood to them earlier this year, and their offense will score plenty. So will Lincoln, hence my slightly higher overall score.

    It is one of the few games you and the Czar differ on, so I am not alone in my call of a close game, and possible upset. But, I think I am going to go with JFK on the high side.

    Okay, I admit I am HOPING it ends that way. Don’t think I would lay money on it. Thanks for the HS coverage this week, and all year.

  3. LakesLancer says:

    Nathan Hale @ Lakes? 50 by halftime?

  4. GK would be a better if their coach had a game plan and a passing game. If they did, they could have had a chance against us. Anyway, go SPSL!

  5. Doug…You are going to look pretty bad …for not even previewing the biggest upset of the football season when Curtis beats Woodinville on Saturday

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