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Basketball: Predictions for 4A, 3A boys and girls state tournaments

Post by Doug Pacey / The News Tribune on Feb. 28, 2011 at 11:11 pm with 1 Comment »
February 28, 2011 11:11 pm

Here are my predictions on how the class 4A and 3A boys and girls basketball state tournaments will play out.

Don’t forget to make your state-championship picks here.

CLASS 4A BOYS BASKETBALL PREDICTION

Quarterfinals
Davis over Jackson
Curtis over Olympia
Garfield over Puyallup
Gonzaga Prep over Kentridge

Semifinals
Curtis over Davis
Garfield over Gonzaga Prep

Final
Garfield over Curtis

I ended up with Garfield and Curtis in the final, but it could have gone a few other ways. Difficult to pick were the Davis-Jackson and Gonzaga Prep-Kentridge matchups.

I was impressed with Davis’ win over second-ranked Ferris and went with the Pirates. Of course, Jackson’s Brett Kingma is entirely capable of making that pick look foolish. Jackson’s good enough to win the whole tournament.

Another player capable of loading a team on his shoulders is Kentridge’s Gary Bell. Depending on who you ask, Bell is the best player in the state. I’d love to see a Garfield-Kentridge matchup in the semifinals to see Bell and Tony Wroten go head-to-head. But I went with Gonzaga Prep, picking a team with state-tournament experience and guard Chris Sarbaugh, who will be Bell’s future teammate at Gonzaga University.

Keep an eye on Puyallup. If Garfield overlooks the Vikings, they’ll be in for a long game. Puyallup can run and score with any team in the state.

CLASS 3A BOYS BASKETBALL PREDICTION

Quarterfinals
Kamiakin over Seattle Prep
O’Dea over Lakes
Bellevue over Chief Sealth
Glacier Peak over North Central

Semifinals
O’Dea over Kamiakin
Bellevue over Glacier Peak

Final
O’Dea over Bellevue

No team in Class 3A is playing better than Bellevue at the moment. The Wolverines blasted through the Sea-King District tournament and crushed Decatur in the regional round of the state tournament.

That said, Chief Sealth could derail Bellevue in the quarterfinals. The Seahawks are solid, having faced good competition in the Metro League, and upset No. 2 Lincoln on Saturday.

Bellevue toppled O’Dea in the semifinals of the Sea-King District tournament. I see O’Dea getting some revenge. That’s if the Irish can get past Lakes and the winner of Kamiakin-Seattle Prep. Not an easy path.

CLASS 4A GIRLS BASKETBALL PREDICTION

Quarterfinals
Chiawana over Lake Stevens
Federal Way over Mount Rainier
Bellarmine Prep over Woodinville
Lewis & Clark over Edmonds-Woodway

Semifinals
Federal Way over Chiawana
Lewis & Clark over Bellarmine Prep

Final
Federal Way over Lewis & Clark

If Federal Way can stay healthy, the Eagles will be tough to beat.

Chiawana showed its mettle in a 69-65 double-overtime win over Gonzaga Prep in a winner-to-Tacoma, loser-out game on Saturday. The Riverhawks are young, but talented and could have enough to win a state title in the school’s second year.

The bottom-half of the bracket is tough to figure – any of the four teams has a legitimate shot to reach the final. Bellarmine Prep has been hit hard by injuries recently, though forward Ionna Price did play some last weekend. Woodinville enters with a 12-game winning streak and its 24-point win over Mount Rainier last week was impressive. Edmonds-Woodway has lost only once – a 44-43 defeat to Marysville-Pilchuck on Feb. 9 – in 2011. With wins over Gonzaga Prep and Chiawana, plus its state-tournament pedigree, Lewis & Clark can’t be counted out.

CLASS 3A GIRLS BASKETBALL PREDICTION

Quarterfinals
Kamiakin over Glacier Peak
Prairie over Kennedy Catholic
Holy Names over Lakeside
Auburn Mountainview over North Central

Semifinals
Prairie over Kamiakin
Holy Names over Auburn Mountainview

Final
Holy Names over Prairie

More than any other tournament, I feel most comfortable with my title-game pick here. Undefeated Holy Names must be considered a virtual lock to get back to the final. And Prairie, even without Heather Corral, showed it’s a worthy contender.

Leave a comment Comments → 1
  1. Cotswold98407 says:

    The presence of the girls tournament with the boys is not appropriate when you have state quarterfinals being played at 9AM. We were at the morning games today and with the boys crowd four or five times larger than the girls, you have to ask why they are in the building. Their tournament would easily fit at UPS. I know they would be away from all the action but we have to stop lying to ourselves – the fan base for girls is a fraction of boys. They do not deserve equal billing.

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