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Prep Football: Class 4A Playoff Projections

Post by Doug Pacey / The News Tribune on Oct. 11, 2010 at 2:21 pm with No Comments »
October 12, 2010 11:39 am

We’re six weeks into the high school football season and the playoff picture is still hazy. But the fog will clear quickly. Some leagues, such as WesCo 4A and KingCo 4A, have only two weeks remaining in the regular season.

While the teams “take it one game at a time,” we’re looking into the future. All the way to the postseason, in fact. Projections for 3A, 2A and 1A will come out later this week.

Below, you will find a league-by-league look at the playoff scenarios for all Class 4A leagues in the state, along with projected matchups for all of the Week 10 state play-in games. When the WIAA releases the state playoff bracket – it could come this week – we will include a glance at what the first round of the state playoffs might look like.

Like we’ve done for the last few years, the TNT will update these projections each week. We’ve provided enough information so that if you don’t agree with our projections and want to see how the playoff bracket might look with different league finishes, you should be able to do that fairly easily.

CLASS 4A POSTSEASON PROJECTIONS

WESCO
Postseason berths:
Five
Lowdown: WesCo is one of a few leagues that have divisional playoffs in Week 9. The top three teams in the North and South divisions will play crossover games in Week 9 – North No. 1 vs. South No. 1, No. 2 vs. No. 2 and No. 3 vs. No. 3. The No. 1’s will play for the first and second seeds, the No. 2’s will play for the third and fourth seeds and the winner of the No. 3’s game will get the fifth seed to the Week 10 state play-in round.

Currently, Arlington leads the North Division and can all but clinch the top seed with a win at Monroe, which is tied for second with Lake Stevens, this week. Lake Stevens beat Monroe on Friday.

In the South, Mariner is in first and will probably win the division title with a win over Jackson on Oct. 22. If Jackson wins that game, there’s a possibility that Mariner, Jackson and Edmonds-Woodway, which beat Jackson on Oct. 1, could end up in a three-way tie for first

KINGCO
Postseason berths:
Five
Lowdown: KingCo 4A has two divisions – Crown and Crest. In Week 9, the champions of each division will meet in the KingCo title game. The winner will get the league’s No. 1 seed and the loser the No. 2 seed to the Week 10 state play-in round. Also in Week 9, from each division, the second-place and fourth-place teams will play and the third-place teams will go head-to-head in loser-out games for the remaining three seeds. Top-ranked Skyline (Crest) and No. 4 Bothell (Crown) are in different divisions and, in all likelihood, will meet in the KingCo championship game.

Following Skyline in the Crest are Eastlake, Issaquah and Newport. The No. 2 team will probably be the winner of this week’s Eastlake-Issaquah contest. There’s a similar situation in the Crown, where the winner of this week’s Woodinville-Inglemoor game will likely get the second seed. Garfield has the inside track on the Crown’s final postseason berth.

SPSL NORTH
Postseason berths:
Four, plus pig-tail with SPSL South
Lowdown: The top four teams will qualify for the Week 10 state play-in round. On Nov. 2, the fifth-place team will play the fifth-place team from the SPSL South and the winner will advance to the state play-in round.

Lets pencil Kentwood in as the SPSL North champion after beating Auburn and Kentlake the last two weeks. The winner of this week’s Kentlake-Auburn game will be the second seed. Three teams – Auburn Riverside, Kent-Meridian and Kentridge – are tied at 3-2 in league and going for the final two berths.

SPSL SOUTH
Postseason berths:
Four, plus pig-tail with SPSL North
Lowdown: The top four teams will qualify for the Week 10 state play-in round. On Nov. 2, the fifth-place team will play the fifth-place team from the SPSL South and the winner will advance to the state play-in round.

Barring a collapse, Curtis is the probable No. 1 seed. Rogers has the inside track on the second seed by virtue of its win over Bethel, but still must play Graham-Kapowsin. Bethel can throw a wrench into everything if the Braves beat Curtis on Oct. 21 and potentially create a three-way tie for first between Bethel, Curtis and Rogers. Beamer, Puyallup and Federal Way have the best chances at claiming the final berth, and Federal Way has the easiest remaining schedule of those three.

NARROWS LEAGUE
Postseason berths:
Four
Lowdown: Bellarmine Prep, Gig Harbor and Olympia are undefeated in league play and tied atop the league standings, but not for long. The three teams will play each other, round-robin style, in the next three weeks, beginning with Olympia visiting Gig Harbor this week. The fourth berth is wide open, with Central Kitsap, Stadium, Mount Tahoma and Shelton all tied right now.

GREATER ST. HELENS LEAGUE
Postseason berths:
Three
Lowdown: The league champion will almost surely come down to the winner of the Oct. 29 Skyview-Union contest. Third-place is up for grabs among Battle Ground, Evergreen and Heritage, all of which have losing records.

GREATER SPOKANE LEAGUE
Postseason berths:
Three
Lowdown: The top three teams will qualify for winner-to-state crossover games in Week 10 with Columbia Basin/Big Nine teams. The top seed will host a game and the other two will travel to the CBBN sites. The GSL’s No. 1 team will probably come down to the winner of the Gonzaga Prep-Ferris game on Oct. 29. There’s a three-team log-jam between Central Valley, Lewis & Clark and Mead for the third playoff spot.

COLUMBIA BASIN/BIG NINE 4A
Postseason berths:
Three
Lowdown: The top three teams will qualify for winner-to-state crossover games in Week 10 with Greater Spokane League teams. The top two seeds will host games and the third-place team will travel to the GSL champion. If Chiawana beats Davis this week, the Riverhawks can take a big step toward securing the league title and top seed. A Davis victory could set in motion the potential for a three-way tie for first among Davis, Chiawana and Richland, which lost to Chiawana and beat Davis earlier this season. Those three teams are in the best position to grab postseason berths, but Wenatchee and Eisenhower could sneak in.

CLASS 4A WEEK 10 PROJECTED PLAYOFF MATCHUPS
Winners advance to the first round of the state playoffs.
GAME 1: SPSL No. 5 (North/South pig-tail winner) at. WesCo No. 1 (Arlington)

GAME 2: KingCo No. 4 (Woodinville) at WesCo No. 2 (Mariner)

GAME 3: SPSL South No. 3 (Bethel) at WesCo No. 3 (Lake Stevens)

GAME 4: Narrows No. 4 (Central Kitsap) at KingCo No. 1 (Skyline)

GAME 5: GSHL No. 2 (Skyview) at KingCo No. 2 (Bothell)

GAME 6: KingCo No. 5 (Eastlake) at Narrows No. 1 (Olympia)

GAME 7:
GSHL No. 3 (Evergreen) at SPSL North No. 1 (Kentwood)

GAME 8:
WesCo No. 5 (Jackson) at SPSL South No. 1 (Curtis)

GAME 9: SPSL North No. 4 (Kentridge) at Narrows No. 2 (Gig Harbor)

GAME 10: WesCo No. 4 (Edmonds-Woodway) at SPSL North No. 2 (Kentlake)

GAME 11: Narrows No. 3 (Bellarmine Prep) at SPSL South No. 2 (Rogers)

GAME 12: KingCo No. 3 (Issaquah) at SPSL North No. 3 (Auburn)

GAME 13: SPSL South No. 4 (Graham-Kapowsin) at GSHL No. 1 (Union)

Eastern Regional
GAME 1
: CBBN No. 3 (Davis) at GSL No. 1 (Ferris)

GAME 2: GSL No. 2 (Gonzaga Prep) at CBBN No. 2 (Richland)

GAME 3: GSL No. 3 (Central Valley) at CBBN No. 1 (Chiawana)

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