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Prep Football: Class 3A Playoff Projections

Post by Doug Pacey / The News Tribune on Oct. 11, 2010 at 7:09 pm with No Comments »
October 13, 2010 8:29 pm

We’re six weeks into the high school football season and the playoff picture is still hazy. But the fog will clear quickly. Some leagues, such as Metro, have only two weeks remaining in the regular season.

While the teams take it one game at a time, we’re looking into the future. All the way to the postseason, in fact. You can find projections for Class 4A here and 2A and 1A will be posted later this week.

Below, you will find a league-by-league look at the playoff scenarios for all Class 3A leagues in the state, along with projected matchups for all of the Week 10 state play-in games. When the WIAA releases the state playoff bracket – it could come this week – we will include a glance at what the first round of the state playoffs might look like.

Like we’ve done for the last few years, the TNT will update the projections each week, as the postseason draws near. We’ve provided enough information so that if you don’t agree with our predictions and want to see how the playoff bracket might look with different league finishes, you should be able to do that fairly easily.

CLASS 3A POSTSEASON PROJECTIONS

NORTHWEST
Postseason berths:
One, plus a pig-tail with WesCo No. 4
Lowdown: Two of the league’s three 3A teams – Ferndale, Mount Vernon and Sedro-Woolley – will qualify for the postseason. The No. 1 seed will host the Narrows League’s No. 3 seed in a Week 10 state play-in game. The No. 2 seed will play a pig-tail game against the fourth seed from WesCo.

NWC teams begin league play this week when Ferndale visits Sedro-Woolley.

WESCO
Postseason berths:
Three, plus a pig-tail with Northwest No. 2
Lowdown: Three teams will automatically qualify for the Week 10 state play-in round. The fourth team will play a pig-tail game against the Northwest Conference’s second seed on Tuesday, Nov. 2.

Glacier Peak has a strong grip on claiming the league title. Meadowdale, Everett and Oak Harbor are bunched together and will probably fill out the other postseason berths.

METRO
Postseason berths:
Six
Lowdown: Metro is divided into two divisions – Mountain and Sound – and the top teams in each play for the league title and first and second seeds to the Week 10 state play-in round. The second-place teams play each other and so do the third-place teams.

The Mountain Division champion will probably come down to the O’Dea-Seattle Prep game on Oct. 21. The third-place team will likely be the winner of Eastside Catholic-Bainbridge on Oct. 21.

In the Sound Division, Rainier Beach and Franklin are on a collision course to meet on Oct. 21 for the division title. Nathan Hale has the inside track on the third seed, but Ingraham is there if the Raiders falter.

KINGCO
Postseason berths:
Four
Lowdown: Barring wild upsets, the four playoff-bound teams will be Bellevue, Juanita, Liberty and Mount Si. Right now, that’s probably the order they’ll finish in the standings, too. But if Mount Si can knock off Juanita or Bellevue, or Liberty can topple Bellevue in the final week of the regular season, the order will be shaken up.

SEAMOUNT
Postseason berths:
Two
Lowdown: Kennedy is undefeated in league play and is the clear frontrunner for the top seed. Hazen and Highline are the only other 3A teams in the league and Hazen beat Highline last week.

Bremerton, the only 3A member of the Olympic League, factors into the Seamount’s postseason berths. How Bremerton can reach the postseason is a complicated formula that Nathan Joyce of the Kitsap Sun detailed here. Bremerton must win at least two of its final three games and hope Hazen loses two to reach the postseason. Otherwise, Hazen is in.

SPSL
Postseason berths:
Three
Lowdown: Bonney Lake, Enumclaw and Lakes are all 2-0 in league play and will play each other over the next three weeks. This week, Enumclaw hosts Lakes. Enumclaw visits Bonney Lake next week and Lakes travels to Bonney Lake in the final week of the regular season.

NARROWS
Postseason berths:
Three
Lowdown: Capital is the frontrunner in the league title race, but don’t discount Timberline. The Blazers have won four in a row since opening the season with two losses. Capital and Timberline will meet on Oct. 23. Wilson and Lincoln are tied for third, but the Rams have the inside track on the final berth after beating the Abes last week.

GREATER ST. HELENS LEAGUE
Postseason berths:
Three
Lowdown: Second-ranked Camas is the prohibitive favorite to win the league title. Kelso is also undefeated in league play and will face the Papermakers on Oct. 29. Mountain View and Columbia River are tied for third and will meet on Oct. 29.

COLUMBIA BASIN/BIG NINE 3A
Postseason berths:
Four
Lowdown: The league champion will host the league’s fourth-place team in Week 10 in a winner-to-state contest. The CBBN’s second-place team will host the Greater Spokane League’s No. 2 seed and the CBBN’s third-place team will play at the GSL’s top seed.

Kamiakin and Eastmont sit atop the standings tied and will meet on Oct. 29. Three teams – Kennewick, Pasco and Southridge – are tied for third-place.

GREATER SPOKANE LEAGUE
Postseason berths:
Two
Lowdown: The top seed will host the third-place team from the CBBN 3A and the No. 2 team will play at the CBBN’s second-place team in Week 10.

Unless something crazy happens, Mount Spokane will be the top seed. After beating North Central last week, University is in good position to grab the second berth.

CLASS 3A WEEK 10 PROJECTED PLAYOFF MATCHUPS
Winners advance to the first round of the state playoffs

GAME 1: KingCo No. 4 (Mount Si) at WesCo No. 1 (Glacier Peak)

GAME 2: Narrows No. 3 (Wilson) at Northwest No. 1 (Ferndale)

GAME 3: SPSL No. 2 (Enumclaw) at WesCo No. 2 (Meadowdale)

GAME 4: Metro No. 5 (Bainbridge) at KingCo No. 1 (Bellevue)

GAME 5: SPSL No. 3 (Bonney Lake) at Metro No. 1 (O’Dea)

GAME 6: Seamount No. 2 at Metro No. 2 (Franklin)

GAME 7: WesCo No. 3 (Oak Harbor) at KingCo No. 2 (Juanita)

GAME 8: GSHL No. 3 (Mountain View) at Metro No. 3 (Seattle Prep)

GAME 9: Metro No. 6 (Nathan Hale) at Narrows No. 1 (Capital)

GAME 10: WesCo No. 4/Northwest No. 2 (pig-tail winner) at SPSL No. 1 (Lakes)

GAME 11: KingCo No. 3 (Liberty) at Seamount No. 1 (Kennedy Catholic)

GAME 12: GSHL No. 2 (Kelso) at Narrows No. 2 (Timberline)

GAME 13: Metro No. 4 (Rainier Beach) at GSHL No. 1 (Camas)

Eastern Regional
GAME 1:
CBBN No. 3 (Southridge) at GSL No. 1 (Mount Spokane)

GAME 2: GSL No. 2 (University) at CBBN No. 2 (Eastmont)

GAME 3: CBBN No. 4 (Kennewick) at CBBN No. 1 (Kamiakin)

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