Sure, he begins with a major qualifier, that looking this far ahead is just slightly better than quesswork.
“It is ridiculously premature to issue hard projections,” wrote University of Virginia political scientist (and frequently quoted pundit) Larry Sabato on his webpage. “Any analyst who would call these ratings “predictions” should just open up a palm-reading service.”
But since poli-junkies love this stuff despite that, Sabato has updated his “descriptive short-term forecasts” for the U.S. Senate races in 2012.
Here’s how he described the Washington race:
“Sen. Maria Cantwell (D) is an automatic favorite for reelection to a third term. …