What is more disturbing? That Pollster (via Huffington Post) has already started writing about the 2012 congresional electons or that I’m paying attention to it?
Don’t answer that.
Not wanting to wait for the 2010 vote to be certified (or the Alaska senate race to be decided), Pollster has done a race-by-race analysis of the U.S. Senate races that will be on the ballot in 23 months and two weeks.
Based on some rather thin polling numbers as well as the closeness of the Patty Murray/Dino Rossi race, the writers predict a close election for Washington’s junior senator, Maria Cantwell.
This year, Democrat Patty Murray won a narrow victory over Dino Rossi for the state’s other Senate seat. The PPP poll in late October showed President Obama with negative approval ratings in the state, which suggests Washington might not be a friendly Democratic environment if that remains the case in 2012, but Murray’s victory last week shows that Democrats can still win in that environment.
Of course using the 2010 results as a predictor of 2012 is like using the 2008 results as a predictor of 2010. Still, here it is for you reading pleasure.