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KING-TV/Survey USA polls has 9th District race closer than thought

Post by Peter Callaghan / The News Tribune on Sep. 20, 2010 at 4:36 pm |
September 20, 2010 4:38 pm

On its political blog, KING TV is giving the first look at it’s Survey USA poll on the 9th Congressional District.

And it produces something of a shock. Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith is below 50 percent and his GOP rival Dick Muri is within three percentage points.

First, here’s the link to KING’s site.

The survey gives Smith 49 percent and Muri 46 percent. That’s within the poll’s 4.1 percent margin of error, making the difference between the two candidates statistically insignificant.

Smith enjoys a large fund-raising edge and did comfortably well in the primary. Most national handicappers (like Nate Silver at the New York Times) have the district in the solid Democrat category – the same level given Democrat’s Norm Dicks and Jim McDermott.

Since it was created following the 1990 Census, the district has elected a Republican just once. That was Randy Tate in 1994, the year of the last big GOP Congressional sweep. Smith defeated Tate in 1996. Muri is a member of the Pierce County Council.

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