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Analyst: WA results bode well for GOP

Post by Jordan Schrader / The News Tribune on Aug. 18, 2010 at 9:58 am with 10 Comments »
August 18, 2010 9:58 am

An analyst with RealClearPolitics calls Washington’s primary results a favorable sign for Republicans nationally.

Sean Trende says the state’s unusual blanket and top-two primary systems have yielded primary results that tend to predict the general election pretty well.

I looked at the total Democratic vote cast in the primaries, and compared it to the total Democratic vote in the general election. On average, the Democratic candidate improved his or her share of the vote by only 1.5 points from the fall election.

He writes that despite that trend, Patty Murray managed to improve her showing dramatically in 1998. Will she do it again?

Leave a comment Comments → 10
  1. Vote total across the spectrum indicates this race to be a dead heat. This bodes well for Murray at present.

  2. Um, the results I have seen show Democrats jump 4-6% from the Primary to the General…not sure what data this “analyst” is reading…

  3. What results have you seen “JAvison? Or are you just another “dumbOcrat!”
    Take a good, hard look at what the “dumbOcrats” have done to this country. They have been in CHARGE for almost three years and we are almost financially ruined! Playing the “Bush blame game” is no longer valid.
    Wake up fool……November is the turning point!!!!!!!

  4. zeefrog, if you would actually look at the facts then you would see the country is at least on an upturn instead of the final three years of Bush’s terms when every month we saw more and more jobs lost. If the middle class keeps voting against their own interests by voting in republicans who want to spend nothing to help the workers but build up continual debt to give the richest a huge tax break, then our country is ruined. We need jobs programs for returning vets. We need infrastructure programs to get the economy moving again. What we don’t need is more tax cuts for the rich. We have been trying out that experiment for 20 years and every time it is implemented we go into economic free fall. I used to be a proponent of Reaganomics (actually laissez-faire economics). We tried it, it didn’t work, so we need to move toward a more regulated financial structure and inject capital and jobs into our economy instead of rewarding those who sit on their duffs and clip coupons.

  5. Governor Rossi has a solid track record of turning these dead heat races into general election wins I hear. :)

  6. OK, Zeefrog, how about the 1998 Primary where Senator Murray received less than 50% and won by 17 points in the General.

  7. truthbusterguy says:

    Please, no more (dimbulb) Patty

  8. truthbusterguy
    spot on, my friend.

    It would be great to get rid of someone who supports not only our troops when they are in combat, but also when they return home. Patty’s been there for our veterans at every turn, seeing that they get the care they need.

  9. EatonvilleTaxPayer says:

    Still out to “86 Patty Murray” ~ We want her unseated and replaced with someone WHO LISTENS to what voters want. Murray doesn’t do that.

    Health care is just one example of Murray voting against the will of the people she is SUPPOSED to represent.

    Voting anything but Murray!

  10. EatonvilleTaxPayer

    That’s RIGHT.

    She stood up for us by voting for reforms on wall street.

    She’s been there for college students, vocational students and our schools.

    When asked to stand up for working men and women across this state, she’s been there.

    When asked to protect our Puget Sound and our Columbia River, she’s been there.

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