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UW Poll: Murray edging Rossi; income tax favored

Post by Brad Shannon / The Olympian on May 24, 2010 at 10:21 am with 5 Comments »
May 24, 2010 10:50 am

U.S. Sen. Patty Murray leads potential Republican challenger Dino Rossi by a somewhat narrow 44 percent to 40 percent margin in a hypothetical match-up measured by The Washington Poll.

And by a 58 percent to 30 percent margin, voters favor an income tax proposal, Initiative 1098, which Bill Gates Sr. and labor groups are seeking to qualify for the November ballot. By a margin of 52 percent to 37 percent, voters also support liquor privatizing, breaking up the state-run monopoly, which is the subject of as many as three initiatives.

The poll, done May 3-23 by a social-research project at the University of Washington, has a track record for accuracy for polls done on the eve of elections; this one is well before ballot line-ups are known. This one also used a fairly large sample, 626 would-be voters in the Senate race and had an error margin of 3.9 percent, according to results released this morning by Matt Barreto, a professor of political science and director of the poll. Larger samples of 1,252 voters were used on policy questions and on questions that found voters narrowly prefer Democrats over Republicans or GOP candidates in legislative races.

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Leave a comment Comments → 5
  1. lewiswells says:

    I don’t doubt this income tax scheme will pass. When does, I think I will leave.

  2. If people are in favor of an income tax then they definitly have their head where the sun son’t shine.

  3. the3rdpigshouse says:

    A poll conducted by a bunch of folks not exposed to the real world with respondents from the same body – meaningless!!

  4. tjnpuyallup says:

    After reading the poll further, I found it interesting that Pres. Obama has a 58% approval rating in this poll. That is 10 to 15 points higher than most other polls.

    Sen. Murray has a 51% approval rating, yet only polls at 44% against Rossi. That mean around 14% of those who said she’s doing a good job didn’t say they would vote for her (assuming nobody who disapproves of Murray said they would vote for her).

  5. As long as there are fools that believe the ‘tax the rich, and that ain’t me’ line there will be a possibility of an income tax nosing its camel head under the bottom of the tent. But, if that comes to pass those of any intelligence know it won’t be more than a couple of years before the legislature declares all the state’s residents ‘rich’ and the tax becomes permanently universal.

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