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Coming Sunday: Why Obama will win in 2012

Post by Cheryl Tucker on April 15, 2011 at 4:28 pm with 19 Comments »
April 15, 2011 5:50 pm
President Barack Obama (The Associated Press)

In our Sunday opinion section, Philadelphia Inquirer columnist Dick Polman writes that there are seven reasons why – short of some unforeseen event – Barack Obama is pretty much a shoe-in for re-election.

Here’s one reason:

Incumbency: Care to guess how many Democratic presidents have been defeated for a second term in the last 120 years? A grand total of one. That fact alone has prompted Matthew Dowd, the Republican pollster for George W. Bush, to conclude that “the odds heavily favor President Obama.”

Incumbents are tough to beat, and this one will be raising and spending roughly $1 billion. Meanwhile, the nonpartisan Pew Research Center poll reports that 47 percent of Americans favor Obama’s re-election, while 37 percent want someone from the other party; his numbers are virtually identical to Bush’s numbers in April 2003 (the same point in the election calendar) — and way better than Bill Clinton’s numbers in March 1995.

Plus, Obama’s job-approval rating is higher than Ronald Reagan’s rating in April 1983. Bush, Clinton, and Reagan all won second terms.

Leave a comment Comments → 19
  1. GHTaxPayer says:

    Cheryl Tucker must be on drugs. Jimmy Carter only got one term, and Obama is much worse than Jimmy Carter. Obama’s achievements:
    $4.00 gas
    10 + % unemployment
    $15 Trillion in debt
    RECORD HIGH Food Stamps, Poverty and Foreclosures
    3 Wars
    Obamacare disapproval at 58% and growing
    Obama refuses to cut spending

    Any decent Republican challenger will win in a landslide.

  2. Cheryl Tucker says:

    Hey, I’m just the messenger! Your beef is with the writer, Dick Polman of the Philadelphia Inquirer (

    Besides, The News Tribune has a very strict zero-tolerance drug policy.

  3. GHTaxPayer says:

    Sorry Cheryl. You have my approval to hit the bong.

  4. GHTaxPayer you are correct. But the major media is 95% liberal and they WANT what they say to be true! The Vietnam War was not lost in Viet Nam it was lost at home by the media. The slant that the majot media gives to demoncraps over Republicans is ultra obvious to anyone but a leaglly blind and dumb person.

  5. Dick Polman is obviously an idiot, and so is the TNT for regurgitating this left wing blather !!!

  6. dallasow says:

    GHTax: $4 gas equals the Bush/Cheney supported oil speculators
    8.8% unemployment:L lowest in over 3 years
    National debt: Clinton left Bush with a surplus, Bush left Obama with deficit
    Food stamps and poverty proves the trickle down effects of tax breaks for the
    wealthy doesn’t work
    Foreclosures started under Bush when the banks started to fail. (TARP)
    2 wars started under Bush, Libya is not a US war
    58% disapproval of healthcare due to lack of public option (GOP insistance)
    You don’t cut spending when the economy is on the rebound

    The repugnicans don’t have anyone decent to run against this president.

  7. GHTaxPayer says:

    Obama has been president for 2 1/2 years. HE is responsible for all the failures that I listed. Obama is refusing to allow new oil well drilling while offering $80 Billion in aide to Brazil so that THEY can do offshore oil drilling.
    And why didn’t Obama ban speculation of oil & gas ??? Because WALL ST. is donating over $3 MILLION to his campaign !!!!!

    Clinton added $3,1 TRILLION to national debt during his 8 years. His last year in office he had a budget that was $103 Million under the tax revenue, so we had a FEDERAL ANNUAL surplus for that year. Contrast that to Obama who is running a $1.8 TRILLION deficit for bothe 2009 and 2010 and you realize that Obama is the biggest deficit spender in history.

    Foreclosures were driven by Dodd – Frank and the Democrat legislation that forced banks to offer equal numbers of mortgages to low cedit score applicants. The OBAMA Home Affordability Act has utterly failed and made the bankers richer while costing us BILLIONS.

    Food Stamps and Poverty have hit all time highs in late 2010, almost 2 years after OBAMA took office.

    Obama escalated troops in Afghani and we still have troops in Iraq and now we’re at war in Libya and Gitmo is still open for business. Same as Bush with another war.

    %8% of Americans in numerous polls say they want Obamacare repealed and majority want a FREE MARKET solution. Single payer never gets over 25% in any of the polls. Because any fool knows that our Fed govt. always screws things up and wastes tons of money.

    You liberals just hate the realization that Obama is the worst president in history. You’d love to blame Bush or someone else like the Tea party, but the reality is that Obama has completely destroyed our economy and the American people will kick his liberal failure butt out of office in November 2012.

  8. alindasue says:

    There are some things I like about President Obama and some things I don’t like about him, but that’s irrelevant. The main reason I’m pretty sure he’s going to win re-election is because there doesn’t seem to be any decent candidates turning up to run against him.

  9. Seems like their biggest problem is the quality of candidates. The traits necessary to win a GOP primary these days are the exact opposite of what appeals to the independents who end up deciding these elections.

    Case in point, Donald Trump. He’s rushed to the top of the pile of potential candidates knowing next to nothing about government, being an arrogant jerk, and indulging in latent racist Birtherism.

    Better options like Daniels or Huntsmen simply will not catch on.

  10. GHTaxPayer says:

    What’s racist about demanding that our elected officials show proof of citizenship?

    And Donald Trump knows 1000% more about running a SUCCESSFUL business / government than Obama does !!!!

    Trump knows how to negotiate a WINNING deal and knows how to create jobs.
    Obama does not.

  11. What’s racist about demanding that our elected officials show proof of citizenship?

    Nothing. But when Obama has already shown the proof and Trump continues to insist he’s not really American, it becomes something entirely different.

    And Donald Trump knows 1000% more about running a SUCCESSFUL business / government than Obama does !!!!

    1) He’s been bankrupt 3 times.
    2) He has never had any involvement in government whatsoever.

  12. olbluedoc says:

    Obama will be re-elected by a landslide because he is a great President and the Retardicans don’t have a viable candidate. It doesn’t matter who they run – the clown from Alaska, the buffoon from NY, the moron from Minnesota or one of the FOX Nazis – idiots like GHTP would vote for a chimp if he had the letter R next to his name because all the sheep who vote for Retardicans don’t have the ability to form a single thought on their own. They’re too busy hating gays, worrying about their guns and despising anyone who doesn’t go to their church. Losers.

  13. LarryFine says:

    If the GOP lets the democrats pick the republican candidate, AGAIN, Barry will most certainly win.

  14. GHTaxPayer says:

    DerekYoung –

    Obama has not shown ANYONE his birth certificate. He has not shown anyone his school test scores or college grades.

    Trump himself has NOT been bankrupt 3 times. 3 of the LLCs that he setup for developments have gone to bankruptcy. The other 1000+ LLCs that he setup have been hugely profitable.

    That’s a heckuva lot better than running $4 TRILLION in deficits in only 2 years and putting our whole country in bankruptcy.

    I’ll say it again – Trump has every successful quality that Obama lacks.

  15. nwcolorist says:

    If Obama wins, it will be because he didn’t have a viable opponent.

    Trump is intriguing, in a bizarre way. But I don’t think he sees himself as a serious contender. He just enjoys the publicity.

  16. Obama has not shown ANYONE his birth certificate.

    Actually it’s posted on the internet. Reporters have physically held it in their hands. It was authenticated by Hawaiian officials. There simply is no truth to this claim. Anyone who treats it as a real issue is unelectable in the general. In fact they do the GOP a great disservice because rational candidates will have to respond. Either they too can appease the base by toying with the idea or they can dismiss it and lose the primary.

    They’ve dug themselves a deep hole with this stuff. Kinda sad actually. I remember when the GOP was the “no-nonsense” party.

  17. GHTaxPayer says:

    “Actually it’s posted on the internet”.

    No it’s not. That’s not a birth certificate. That’s a document produced by Democrat-led State of Hawaii officials. There are no attending doctor signatures.

    I can buy one of those “certificates of birth” at any street corner in Los Angeles.

  18. GHTaxPayer says:

    If you look closely at the bogus certificate that DEREKYOUNG links to, you can see the 2007 date stamped in reverse on the bottom of it. That “certificate” was created in 2007.

    Nice try, Demo-rats !

  19. GHTaxPayer, What you are speaking of is a hospital birth certificate. In fact those are NOT legal proof of citizenship. Check with the State Department. What Obama provided is what they state gives you when you request it. Thus the issue date.

    There is no requirement that you provide your original birth certificate to run for President. Heck, I don’t know where mine is but I’m fairly certain I’m a natural born citizen.

    I’m sorry it doesn’t fit your conspiracy, these are the facts.

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